The status and challenge of global fire modelling
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Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Biomass burning impacts vegetation dynamics, biogeochemical cycling, atmospheric chemistry, and climate, with sometimes deleterious socio-economic impacts. Under future climate projections it is often expected that the risk of wildfires will increase. Our ability to predict the magnitude and geographic pattern of future fire impacts rests on our ability to model fire regimes, using either well-founded empirical relationships or process-based models with good predictive skill. While a large variety of models exist today, it is still unclear which type of model or degree of complexity is required to model fire adequately at regional to global scales. This is the central question underpinning the creation of the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), an international initiative to compare and evaluate existing global fire models against benchmark data sets for present-day and historical conditions. In this paper we review how fires have been represented in fire-enabled dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) and give an overview of the current state of the art in fire-regime modelling. We indicate which challenges still remain in global fire modelling and stress the need for a comprehensive model evaluation and outline what lessons may be learned from FireMIP.
Date Issued
2016-06-09
Date Acceptance
2016-05-23
Citation
Biogeosciences, 2016, 13 (11), pp.3359-3375
ISSN
1726-4189
Publisher
European Geosciences Union
Start Page
3359
End Page
3375
Journal / Book Title
Biogeosciences
Volume
13
Issue
11
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
License URL
Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
04 Earth Sciences
05 Environmental Sciences
06 Biological Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2016-06-09