Association between heat and air pollution (PM₂.₅ and black carbon) exposure in pregnancy and preterm birth in low and middle-income countries: a systematic review & meta-analysis
File(s)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background Preterm birth (PTB) is a major global health issue, causing substantial newborn morbidity and mortality. Limited literature is available on the association between prenatal exposure to heat and air pollution (particularly, particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and black carbon) and the risk of PTB in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This review attempts to integrate existing information.
Methods A systematic search of numerous databases (Pubmed, Embase, Scopus and grey literature) for peer-reviewed articles published between 2010 and 2024 in LMIC was done using PM2.5, black carbon and ambient heat as exposures with PTB as the outcome. After screening 4524 studies, 32 were included, focusing on various exposure windows throughout pregnancy. The risk of bias assessment was done using the Non-randomised Studies of Exposures tool. Random-effects meta-analyses using the DerSimonian and Laird method were done when three or more studies were available; otherwise, a fixed-effects model was used to estimate the pooled effect sizes.
Results Heat exposures were associated with elevated incidences of PTB, especially during the first and third trimesters (OR=1.29 and 1.39, respectively). PM2.5 exposure was also similarly associated, but to a lower extent across all trimesters (OR=1.09). Black carbon exposure also depicted a similar trend, which was during the third trimester (OR=2.74).
Conclusion The results point towards a consistent adverse effect on the exposures studied (PM2.5, black carbon, and heat). There is also a dearth of representative data from LMICs where vulnerabilities to climate change, specifically for maternal and child health, are more pronounced. Furthermore, few studies have investigated the impact of combined exposures, highlighting a critical gap in understanding the synergistic effects of these environmental factors. This emphasises the need for more geographically diverse and representative studies to permit policy framing aiming to reduce PTB incidence mediated by environmental factors.
PROSPERO registration number The study protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO-CRD42024563329.
Methods A systematic search of numerous databases (Pubmed, Embase, Scopus and grey literature) for peer-reviewed articles published between 2010 and 2024 in LMIC was done using PM2.5, black carbon and ambient heat as exposures with PTB as the outcome. After screening 4524 studies, 32 were included, focusing on various exposure windows throughout pregnancy. The risk of bias assessment was done using the Non-randomised Studies of Exposures tool. Random-effects meta-analyses using the DerSimonian and Laird method were done when three or more studies were available; otherwise, a fixed-effects model was used to estimate the pooled effect sizes.
Results Heat exposures were associated with elevated incidences of PTB, especially during the first and third trimesters (OR=1.29 and 1.39, respectively). PM2.5 exposure was also similarly associated, but to a lower extent across all trimesters (OR=1.09). Black carbon exposure also depicted a similar trend, which was during the third trimester (OR=2.74).
Conclusion The results point towards a consistent adverse effect on the exposures studied (PM2.5, black carbon, and heat). There is also a dearth of representative data from LMICs where vulnerabilities to climate change, specifically for maternal and child health, are more pronounced. Furthermore, few studies have investigated the impact of combined exposures, highlighting a critical gap in understanding the synergistic effects of these environmental factors. This emphasises the need for more geographically diverse and representative studies to permit policy framing aiming to reduce PTB incidence mediated by environmental factors.
PROSPERO registration number The study protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO-CRD42024563329.
Date Issued
2025-09-14
Date Acceptance
2025-08-19
Citation
BMJ Paediatrics Open, 2025, 9 (1)
ISSN
2399-9772
Publisher
BMJ Publishing Group
Journal / Book Title
BMJ Paediatrics Open
Volume
9
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
Subject to copyright. This paper is embargoed until publication. Once published the Version of Record (VoR) will be available on immediate open access.
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN e00342
Date Publish Online
2025-09-14