Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe
Author(s)
Raible, Christoph C
Bärenbold, Oliver
Gómez-navarro, Juan José
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Over the past decades, different drought indices have been suggested in the literature. This study tackles the problem of how to characterize droughts by defining a framework and proposing a generalized family of drought indices that is flexible regarding the use of different hydrological fluxes in the water balance. The sensitivity of various indices and its skill to represent drought conditions is evaluated using a regional model simulation for Europe spanning the last two millennia as test bed. The framework combines an exponentially damped memory with a normalization method based on quantile mapping. Both approaches are more robust and physically meaningful compared to the existing methods used to define drought indices. Still, the framework is flexible with respect to hydrological fluxes used for the water balance, enabling users to adapt the index formulation to the data availability of different locations. Based on it, indices using different hydrological fluxes in the water balance are compared with each other showing that a drought index considering only precipitation in the water balance is sufficient for western to central Europe. In the Mediterranean, temperature effects via evapotranspiration rather than potential evapotranspiration, need to be considered to produce meaningful indices representative of water deficit. In addition, our results indicate that in north-eastern Europe and Scandinavia, snow and run-off effects need to be considered simultaneously in the index definition to obtain accurate results.
Date Issued
2017-03-13
Date Acceptance
2017-01-17
Citation
Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2017, 69 (1), pp.1-16
ISSN
0280-6495
Publisher
Co-Action Publishing
Start Page
1
End Page
16
Journal / Book Title
Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Volume
69
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/16000870.2017.1296226
Subjects
0401 Atmospheric Sciences
0405 Oceanography
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2017-03-13