Improving predictions of climate change-land use change interactions.
File(s)Schulte to Buhne et al. 2020 TREE accepted.pdf (1.2 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Schulte To Bühne, Henrike
Tobias, Joseph A
Durant, Sarah M
Pettorelli, Nathalie
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Climate change and land use change often interact, altering biodiversity in unexpected ways. Research into climate change-land use change (CC-LUC) interactions has so far focused on quantifying biodiversity outcomes, rather than identifying the underlying ecological mechanisms, making it difficult to predict interactions and design appropriate conservation responses. We propose a risk-based framework to further our understanding of CC-LUC interactions. By identifying the factors driving the exposure and vulnerability of biodiversity to land use change, and then examining how these factors are altered by climate change (or vice versa), this framework will allow the effects of different interaction mechanisms to be compared across geographic and ecological contexts, supporting efforts to reduce biodiversity loss from interacting stressors.
Date Issued
2021-01
Date Acceptance
2020-08-28
Citation
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 2021, 36 (1), pp.29-38
ISSN
0169-5347
Publisher
Cell Press
Start Page
29
End Page
38
Journal / Book Title
Trends in Ecology and Evolution
Volume
36
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Economic & Social Research Council (ESRC)
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33020018
PII: S0169-5347(20)30249-4
Grant Number
471/04
Subjects
ecological forecasting
environmental change
stressor interactions
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2020-10-02