Value at risk under dependence and heavy-tailedness: Models with common shocks
File(s)IbragimovWaldenAOFI-605Revised.pdf (393.35 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Ibragimov, R
Walden, Johan
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper presents an analysis of diversification and portfolio value at risk for heavy-tailed dependent risks in models with multiple common shocks. We show that, in the framework of value at risk comparisons, diversification is optimal for moderately heavy-tailed dependent risks with common shocks and finite first moments, provided that the model is balanced, i.e., that all the risks are available for portfolio formation. However, diversification is inferior in balanced extremely heavy-tailed risk models with common factors. Finally, in several unbalanced dependent models, diversification is optimal, even though there is extreme heavy-tailedness in common shocks or in idiosyncratic parts of the risks. Analogues of the obtained results further hold for efficiency comparisons of linear estimators in random effects models with dependent and heavy-tailed observations.
Date Issued
2011-08
Date Acceptance
2010-08-01
Citation
Annals of Finance, 2011, 7 (3), pp.285-318
ISSN
1614-2446
Publisher
Springer (part of Springer Nature)
Start Page
285
End Page
318
Journal / Book Title
Annals of Finance
Volume
7
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2010 Springer-Verlag. The final publication is available at Springer via https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10436-010-0166-2
Sponsor
National Science Foundation
Grant Number
SES-0820124
Subjects
1502 Banking, Finance And Investment
Finance
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2010-08-28