Interoperability of statistical models in pandemic preparedness: principles and reality
File(s)2109.13730v1.pdf (3.92 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We present interoperability as a guiding framework for statistical modelling to assist policy makers asking multiple questions using diverse datasets in the face of an evolving pandemic response. Interoperability provides an important set of principles for future pandemic preparedness, through the joint design and deployment of adaptable systems of statistical models for disease surveillance using probabilistic reasoning. We illustrate this through case studies for inferring and characterising spatial-temporal prevalence and reproduction numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections in England.
Date Issued
2022-05-01
Date Acceptance
2022-05-01
Citation
Statistical Science: a review journal, 2022, 37 (2), pp.183-206
ISSN
0883-4237
Publisher
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Start Page
183
End Page
206
Journal / Book Title
Statistical Science: a review journal
Volume
37
Issue
2
License URL
Sponsor
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000798149000004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Grant Number
R01HD092580
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Statistics & Probability
Mathematics
Bayesian graphical models
Bayesian melding
COVID-19
evidence synthesis
interoperability
modularization
multi-source inference
EPIDEMIOLOGY
PREVALENCE
SARS-COV-2
INFECTION
INFERENCE
ENGLAND
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-05-16