A probabilistic model to evaluate options for mitigating induced seismic risk
File(s)van Elk et al_050918EQS118MR_Full Paper.pdf (2.03 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Common responses to induced seismicity are based on control of the anthropogenic activity causing the earthquakes, like fluid injection or withdrawal, in order to limit either the magnitudes of the events or the level of ground motion to within established thresholds. An alternative risk mitigation option is seismic retrofitting of the more vulnerable buildings potentially exposed to the ground shaking in order to reduce the risk to acceptable levels. Optimal mitigation strategies may combine both production control and structural strengthening, for which a probabilistic risk model is required that can estimate the change in hazard due to production or injection variations and the changes in fragility resulting from structural interventions. Such a risk model has been developed for the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands. The framework for this risk model to inform decision-making regarding mitigation strategies can be adapted to other cases of anthropogenically-induced seismicity.
Date Issued
2019-05-01
Date Acceptance
2018-11-09
Citation
Earthquake Spectra, 2019, 35 (2), pp.537-564
ISSN
8755-2930
Publisher
Earthquake Engineering Research Institute
Start Page
537
End Page
564
Journal / Book Title
Earthquake Spectra
Volume
35
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Earthquake Engineering Research Institute.
Identifier
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1193/050918EQS118M
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Engineering, Civil
Engineering, Geological
Engineering
GROUND-MOTION MODEL
GRONINGEN GAS-FIELD
HAZARD ASSESSMENT
EARTHQUAKES
MAGNITUDE
FRAMEWORK
0905 Civil Engineering
Strategic, Defence & Security Studies
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-11-28