As bleak as it sounds? Analyzing trends in oncology clinical trial initiation in the United Kingdom from 2010-2022
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Author(s)
VanHelene, Alexander David
Hadfield, Matthew J
Trapani, Dario
Warner, Jeremy Lyle
Lythgoe, Mark P
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Objectives The UK’s withdrawal from the European Union (a political movement known as ‘Brexit’) incited concern both in the public and private sector about the future of drug development and the clinical trial landscape in the UK. This study evaluates trends in the initiation of phase III clinical trials that evaluated systemic anticancer treatments from 2010 to 2022 both in the UK and worldwide.
Methods and analysis Relevant clinical trials were identified through ClinicalTrials.gov. Initiation date in each country was defined as the date that a study’s record was updated to include a recruiting site in the country of interest. Concurrent clinical site counts were defined as the number of facilities that contemporaneously hosted trials. Temporal trends in trial initiation and site counts were evaluated.
Results Our analysis uncovered a worldwide increase in clinical trial initiation from 2013 to 2019. The UK experienced a decrease in clinical trial initiation immediately post-Brexit in 2020 but rebounded in 2021. The UK’s resurgence in clinical trials in 2021 was driven predominately by industry-funded trials. Other countries saw a similar increase in clinical trial initiation from 2020 to 2021.
Conclusions The UK’s trends in phase III oncology clinical trial initiation from 2010 to 2022 largely reflects global trends, suggesting that other factors (eg, COVID-19 pandemic) beyond Brexit, may have had a stronger influence on clinical trial initiation within the UK.
Methods and analysis Relevant clinical trials were identified through ClinicalTrials.gov. Initiation date in each country was defined as the date that a study’s record was updated to include a recruiting site in the country of interest. Concurrent clinical site counts were defined as the number of facilities that contemporaneously hosted trials. Temporal trends in trial initiation and site counts were evaluated.
Results Our analysis uncovered a worldwide increase in clinical trial initiation from 2013 to 2019. The UK experienced a decrease in clinical trial initiation immediately post-Brexit in 2020 but rebounded in 2021. The UK’s resurgence in clinical trials in 2021 was driven predominately by industry-funded trials. Other countries saw a similar increase in clinical trial initiation from 2020 to 2021.
Conclusions The UK’s trends in phase III oncology clinical trial initiation from 2010 to 2022 largely reflects global trends, suggesting that other factors (eg, COVID-19 pandemic) beyond Brexit, may have had a stronger influence on clinical trial initiation within the UK.
Date Issued
2024-01
Date Acceptance
2024-07-22
Citation
BMJ Oncology, 2024, 3 (1)
ISSN
2752-7948
Publisher
BMJ Publishing Group
Journal / Book Title
BMJ Oncology
Volume
3
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) (or their
employer(s)) 2024. Re-use
permitted under CC BY-NC. No
commercial re-use. See rights
and permissions. Published by
BMJ.
employer(s)) 2024. Re-use
permitted under CC BY-NC. No
commercial re-use. See rights
and permissions. Published by
BMJ.
Identifier
https://bmjoncology.bmj.com/content/3/1/e000410
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
e000410
Date Publish Online
2024-08-14