Modeling and simulation for the spread of Covid-19 in an Indian city: a case study
File(s)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
We present a case study on modeling and predicting the course of Covid-19 in the Indian city of Pune. The results presented in this paper are concerned primarily with the wave of infections triggered by the Delta variant during the period between February and June 2021. Our work demonstrates the necessity for bringing together compartmental stock-and-flow and agent-based models and the limitations of each approach when used individually. Some of the work presented here was carried out in the process of advising the local city administration and reflects the challenges associated with employing these models in a real-world environment with its uncertainties and time pressures. Our experience, described in the paper, also highlights the risks associated with forecasting the course of an epidemic with evolving variants.
Date Issued
2023-01-23
Date Acceptance
2022-12-01
Citation
2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 2023, pp.593-604
ISSN
0891-7736
Publisher
IEEE
Start Page
593
End Page
604
Journal / Book Title
2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2023 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000991872900049&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
Source
Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)
Subjects
AGENT
Computer Science
Computer Science, Theory & Methods
Mathematics
Mathematics, Applied
Operations Research & Management Science
Physical Sciences
Science & Technology
Technology
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2022-12-11
Finish Date
2022-12-14
Coverage Spatial
Singapore