Data-driven power system operation: Exploring the balance between cost and risk
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Author(s)
Cremer, J
Konstantelos, Ioannis
Tindemans, Simon
Strbac, Goran
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Supervised machine learning has been successfully used in the past to infer a system's security boundary by training classifiers (also referred to as security rules) on a large number of simulated operating conditions. Although significant research has been carried out on using classifiers for the detection of critical operating points, using classifiers for the subsequent identification of suitable preventive/corrective control actions remains underdeveloped. This paper focuses on addressing the challenges that arise when utilizing security rules for control purposes. The inherent trade-off between operating cost and security risk is explored in detail. To optimally navigate this trade-off, a novel approach is proposed that uses an ensemble learning method (AdaBoost) to infer a probabilistic description of a system's security boundary and Platt Calibration to correct the introduced bias. Subsequently, a general-purpose framework for building probabilistic and disjunctive security rules of a system's secure operating domain is developed that can be embedded within classic operation formulations. Through case studies on the IEEE 39-bus system, it is showcased how security rules can be efficiently utilized to optimally operate the system under multiple uncertainties while respecting a user-defined cost-risk balance. This is a fundamental step towards embedding data-driven models within classic optimisation approaches.
Date Issued
2019-01-01
Date Acceptance
2018-08-19
Citation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2019, 34 (1), pp.791-801
ISSN
0885-8950
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Start Page
791
End Page
801
Journal / Book Title
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Volume
34
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. For more information, see http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/.
License URL
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (E
Grant Number
R96051 - EP/K036173/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Engineering, Electrical & Electronic
Engineering
Supervised machine learning
AdaBoost
power systems operation
security rules
dynamic stability
DYNAMIC SECURITY ASSESSMENT
DECISION
0906 Electrical And Electronic Engineering
Energy
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-08-27