The Heterogeneous Treatment Effects of Speed Cameras on Road Safety
File(s)HTE paper_AAP-final.pdf (1.23 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Li, H
Graham, DJ
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper analyses how the effects of fixed speed cameras on road casualties vary across sites with different characteristics and evaluates the criteria for selecting camera sites. A total of 771 camera sites and 4787 potential control sites are observed for a period of 9 years across England. Site characteristics such as road class, crash history and site length are combined into a single index, referred to as a propensity score. We first estimate the average effect at each camera site using propensity score matching. The effects are then estimated as a function of propensity scores using local polynomial regression. The results show that the reduction in personal injury collisions ranges from 10% to 40% whilst the average effect is 25.9%, indicating that the effects of speed cameras are not uniform across camera sites and are dependent on site characteristics, as measured by propensity scores. We further evaluate the criteria for selecting camera sites in the UK by comparing the effects at camera sites meeting and not meeting the criteria. The results show that camera sites which meet the criteria perform better in reducing casualties, implying the current site selection criteria are rational.
Date Issued
2016-09-14
Date Acceptance
2016-09-09
Citation
Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2016, 97, pp.153-161
ISSN
0001-4575
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
153
End Page
161
Journal / Book Title
Accident Analysis & Prevention
Volume
97
Copyright Statement
© 2016, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Subjects
Heterogeneous treatment effect
Propensity score
Speed camera
Logistics & Transportation
1117 Public Health And Health Services
1507 Transportation And Freight Services
1701 Psychology
Publication Status
Published