Long-term trends of use of health service among heart failure patients
File(s)HF_Paper.pdf (1.67 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Aims: We aimed to identify subgroups in the patient population with different trajectories of long-term readmission rates. The study also aimed to assess common causes and their sequences of readmissions for each subgroup. Methods: Patients with a primary diagnosis of heart failure (HF) in the period 2008-2009 were identified using nationally representative primary care data linked to national hospital data, which contain information on 10.5 million patients. HF patients were followed up for 5 years. Group-based trajectory models and sequence analysis were applied. Results: The model categorised the HF population (n = 9466) into 5 subgroups: low-impact (66.9%); two intermediate ones (27.4%); chronic high-impact (2.3%) with steady high annual readmission rates; and short-term high-impact (3.4%) with rapid decline in readmission rates. The groups were defined by their trends of yearly number of readmissions. The all-cause 5-year mortality was highest in the short-term high-impact group (n = 185, 72.8%), followed by group 2 (intermediate users) (n = 744, 58.8%), low-impact (n = 4244, 56.9%), chronic high-impact (n = 88, 37.6%) and group 1 (intermediate users) (n = 401, 30.3%) (p < 0.01). Compared with low-impact users, high-impact users were associated with higher mortality, bereavement episodes, and more out-of-hours GP visits. The chronic high-impact users had distinct sequences of causes of emergency admissions most often consisting of chest infection, ischaemic heart disease, and cardio-pulmonary signs and/or symptoms. Conclusion: Chronic high-impact users constitute a small proportion of total patients, but they have increasingly high use of healthcare services. Short-term high-impact users represent largely end of life patients. They require prompt involvement of the palliative care team to reduce unnecessary readmissions to hospital.
Date Issued
2018-07-01
Date Acceptance
2018-04-26
Citation
European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes, 2018, 4 (4), pp.220-231
ISSN
2058-5225
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Start Page
220
End Page
231
Journal / Book Title
European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes
Volume
4
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© 2018 Oxford University Press. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in European Heart Journal following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version Ahsan Rao, Dani Kim, Ara Darzi, Azeem Majeed, Paul Aylin, Alex Bottle, Long-term trends of use of health service among heart failure patients, European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes, Volume 4, Issue 3, July 2018, Pages 220–231, https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjqcco/qcy013 is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjqcco/qcy013.
Sponsor
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
National Institute for Health Research (NIHR)
Dr Foster Intelligence
Dr Foster Intelligence
National Institute of Health Research
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29718210
PII: 4990240
Grant Number
RDPSC 79560
RDPSC 79560
N/A
N/A
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Cardiac & Cardiovascular Systems
Cardiovascular System & Cardiology
Readmissions
Trajectory analysis
Sequence analysis
Healthcare visits
PRACTICE RESEARCH DATALINK
LENGTH-OF-STAY
ADMINISTRATIVE DATA
HOSPITAL READMISSION
30-DAY READMISSION
CHEST-PAIN
RISK
MORTALITY
PREDICTORS
ADMISSION
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Health Services
Heart Failure
Hospitalization
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Morbidity
Registries
Retrospective Studies
Time Factors
United Kingdom
Young Adult
Humans
Hospitalization
Registries
Morbidity
Retrospective Studies
Follow-Up Studies
Time Factors
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Middle Aged
Health Services
Female
Male
Heart Failure
Young Adult
United Kingdom
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2018-04-28