Predicting daily concentrations of nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter and ozone at fine spatial scale in Great Britain
Author(s)
Wang, Weiyi
Fecht, Daniela
Beevers, Sean
Gulliver, John
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Short-term exposure studies have often relied on time-series of air pollution measurements from monitoring sites. However, this approach does not capture short-term changes in spatial contrasts in air pollution. To address this, models representing both the spatial and temporal variability in air pollution have emerged in recent years. Here, we modelled daily average concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) and ozone (O3) on a 25 m grid for Great Britain from 2011 to 2015 using a generalised additive mixed model, with penalised spline smooth functions for covariates. The models included local-scale predictors derived using a Geographic Information System (GIS), daily estimates from a chemical transport model, and daily meteorological characteristics. The models performed well in explaining the variability in daily averaged measured concentrations at 48–85 sites: 63% for NO2, 77% for PM2.5, 80% for PM10 and 85% for O3. Outputs of the study include daily air pollution maps that can be applied in epidemiological studies across Great Britain. Daily concentration values can also be predicted for specific locations, such as residential addresses or schools, and aggregated to other exposure time periods (including weeks, months, or pregnancy trimesters) to facilitate the needs of different health analyses.
Date Issued
2022-08
Date Acceptance
2022-07-10
Citation
Atmospheric Pollution Research, 2022, 13 (8), pp.101506-101506
ISSN
1309-1042
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Start Page
101506
End Page
101506
Journal / Book Title
Atmospheric Pollution Research
Volume
13
Issue
8
Copyright Statement
2022 Turkish National Committee for Air Pollution Research and Control. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under
the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S130910422200188X?via%3Dihub
Subjects
0401 Atmospheric Sciences
0502 Environmental Science and Management
0907 Environmental Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
101506