Design of experiments for model discrimination hybridising analytical and data-driven approaches
File(s)olofsson18a.pdf (2.47 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Olofsson, Simon
Deisenroth, Marc
Misener, R
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
Healthcare companies must submit pharmaceuti-
cal drugs or medical devices to regulatory bodies
before marketing new technology. Regulatory
bodies frequently require transparent and inter-
pretable computational modelling to justify a new
healthcare technology, but researchers may have
several competing models for a biological sys-
tem and too little data to discriminate between
the models. In design of experiments for model
discrimination, the goal is to design maximally
informative physical experiments in order to dis-
criminate between rival predictive models. Prior
work has focused either on analytical approaches,
which cannot manage all functions, or on data-
driven approaches, which may have computa-
tional difficulties or lack interpretable marginal
predictive distributions. We develop a method-
ology introducing Gaussian process surrogates
in lieu of the original mechanistic models. We
thereby extend existing design and model discrim-
ination methods developed for analytical models
to cases of non-analytical models in a computa-
tionally efficient manner.
cal drugs or medical devices to regulatory bodies
before marketing new technology. Regulatory
bodies frequently require transparent and inter-
pretable computational modelling to justify a new
healthcare technology, but researchers may have
several competing models for a biological sys-
tem and too little data to discriminate between
the models. In design of experiments for model
discrimination, the goal is to design maximally
informative physical experiments in order to dis-
criminate between rival predictive models. Prior
work has focused either on analytical approaches,
which cannot manage all functions, or on data-
driven approaches, which may have computa-
tional difficulties or lack interpretable marginal
predictive distributions. We develop a method-
ology introducing Gaussian process surrogates
in lieu of the original mechanistic models. We
thereby extend existing design and model discrim-
ination methods developed for analytical models
to cases of non-analytical models in a computa-
tionally efficient manner.
Date Issued
2018-07-10
Date Acceptance
2018-05-11
Citation
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR), 2018, 80
Publisher
ICML
Journal / Book Title
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR)
Volume
80
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s)
Sponsor
Commission of the European Communities
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Grant Number
675251
EP/P016871/1
Source
35th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)
Subjects
stat.AP
stat.ML
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2018-07-10
Finish Date
2018-07-15
Coverage Spatial
Stockholm, Sweden