Prediction of chaotic dynamics and extreme events: a recurrence-free quantum reservoir computing approach
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Published version
Author(s)
Ahmed, Osama
Felix, Tennie
Magri, Luca
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In chaotic dynamical systems, extreme events manifest in time series as unpredictable large-amplitude peaks. Although deterministic, extreme events appear seemingly randomly, which makes their forecasting difficult. By learning the dynamics from observables (data), reservoir computers can time accurately predict extreme events and chaotic dynamics, but they may require many degrees of freedom (large reservoirs). In this paper, by exploiting quantum-computer ansätze and entanglement, we design reservoir computers with compact reservoirs and accurate prediction capabilities. First, we propose the recurrence-free quantum reservoir computer (RF-QRC) architecture. By developing ad hoc quantum feature maps and removing recurrent connections, the RF-QRC has quantum circuits with smaller depths. This allows the RF-QRC to scale well with higher-dimensional chaotic systems, which makes it suitable for hardware implementation. Second, we forecast the temporal chaotic dynamics and their long-term statistics of low- and higher-dimensional dynamical systems. We find that RF-QRC requires smaller reservoirs than classical reservoir computers for higher-dimensional systems and the same predictability. Third, we apply the RF-QRC to the time prediction of extreme events in a model of a turbulent shear flow with turbulent bursts. We find that the RF-QRC has longer predictability than the classical reservoir computer for extreme events forecasting. The results and analyses indicate that quantum-computer ansätze offers nonlinear expressivity and computational scalability, which are useful for forecasting chaotic dynamics and extreme events. This work opens new opportunities for using quantum machine learning on near-term quantum computers.
Date Issued
2024-11
Date Acceptance
2024-10-07
Citation
Physical Review Research, 2024, 6 (4)
ISSN
2643-1564
Publisher
American Physical Society
Journal / Book Title
Physical Review Research
Volume
6
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
Published by the American Physical Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the published article's title, journal citation, and DOI.
License URL
Identifier
https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.6.043082
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
043082
Date Publish Online
2024-11-01