Systemic pro-inflammatory response identifies patients with cancer with adverse outcomes from SARS-CoV-2 infection: the OnCovid Inflammatory Score
File(s)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background: Cancer patients are particularly susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. The systemic inflammatory response is a pathogenic mechanism shared by cancer progression and Covid-19. We investigated systemic inflammation as a driver of severity and mortality from Covid-19, evaluating the prognostic role of commonly utilized inflammatory indices in SARS-CoV-2-infected cancer patients accrued to the OnCovid study.
Methods: In a multi-center cohort of SARS-CoV-2-infected cancer patients in Europe, we evaluated dynamic changes in neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR); prognostic nutritional index (PNI), renamed the OnCovid Inflammatory Score (OIS); modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS); and prognostic index (PI) in relationship to oncological and Covid-19 infection features, testing their prognostic potential in independent training (n=529) and validation (n=542) sets.
Results: We evaluated 1,071 eligible patients: 625 (58.3%) males, 420 with malignancy in advanced stage (39.2%), most commonly genitourinary (n=216, 20.2%). 844 (78.8%) had ≥1 comorbidity and 754 (70.4%) ≥1 Covid-19 complication. NLR, OIS, and mGPS worsened at Covid-19 diagnosis compared to pre-Covid-19 measurement (P<0.01), recovering in survivors to pre-Covid-19 levels. Patients in poorer risk categories for each index except the PLR exhibited higher mortality rates (P<0.001) and shorter median overall survival in the training and validation sets (P<0.01). Multivariable analyses revealed the OIS to be most independently predictive of survival (validation set HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.47 – 4.20, P=0.001; adjusted C-index 0.611).
Conclusions: Systemic inflammation is a validated prognostic domain in SARS-CoV-2-infected cancer patients and can be utilized as a bedside predictor of adverse outcome. Lymphocytopenia and hypoalbuminemia as computed by the OIS are independently predictive of severe Covid-19, supporting their use for risk stratification. Reversal of the Covid-19-induced pro-inflammatory state is a putative therapeutic strategy in patients with cancer.
Methods: In a multi-center cohort of SARS-CoV-2-infected cancer patients in Europe, we evaluated dynamic changes in neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR); prognostic nutritional index (PNI), renamed the OnCovid Inflammatory Score (OIS); modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS); and prognostic index (PI) in relationship to oncological and Covid-19 infection features, testing their prognostic potential in independent training (n=529) and validation (n=542) sets.
Results: We evaluated 1,071 eligible patients: 625 (58.3%) males, 420 with malignancy in advanced stage (39.2%), most commonly genitourinary (n=216, 20.2%). 844 (78.8%) had ≥1 comorbidity and 754 (70.4%) ≥1 Covid-19 complication. NLR, OIS, and mGPS worsened at Covid-19 diagnosis compared to pre-Covid-19 measurement (P<0.01), recovering in survivors to pre-Covid-19 levels. Patients in poorer risk categories for each index except the PLR exhibited higher mortality rates (P<0.001) and shorter median overall survival in the training and validation sets (P<0.01). Multivariable analyses revealed the OIS to be most independently predictive of survival (validation set HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.47 – 4.20, P=0.001; adjusted C-index 0.611).
Conclusions: Systemic inflammation is a validated prognostic domain in SARS-CoV-2-infected cancer patients and can be utilized as a bedside predictor of adverse outcome. Lymphocytopenia and hypoalbuminemia as computed by the OIS are independently predictive of severe Covid-19, supporting their use for risk stratification. Reversal of the Covid-19-induced pro-inflammatory state is a putative therapeutic strategy in patients with cancer.
Date Issued
2021-03-22
Date Acceptance
2021-02-05
Citation
Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer, 2021, 9 (3), pp.1-13
ISSN
2051-1426
Publisher
BioMed Central
Start Page
1
End Page
13
Journal / Book Title
Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer
Volume
9
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to copy, redistribute, remix, transform and build upon this work for any purpose, provided the original work is properly cited, a link to the licence is given, and indication of whether changes were made. See https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Sponsor
Wellcome Trust
Identifier
https://jitc.bmj.com/content/9/3/e002277
Grant Number
204834/Z/16/Z
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Oncology
Immunology
inflammation
inflammation mediators
COVID-19
COVID-19
inflammation
inflammation mediators
OnCovid study group
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
e002277
Date Publish Online
2021-03-22