Investigating the impact of cumulative pressure-induced stress on machine learning models for pipe breaks
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Published version
Author(s)
Konstantinou, Charalampos
Jara-Arriagada, Carlos
Stoianov, Ivan
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Significant financial resources are needed for the maintenance and rehabilitation of water supply networks (WSNs) to prevent pipe breaks. The causes and mechanisms for pipe breaks vary between different WSNs. However, it is commonly acknowledged that the operational management and water pressure influence significantly the frequency of pipe breaks. Pipe breaks occur when the water pressure exceeds the tensile strength of a pipe, or due to repetitive pressure cycles that result in fatigue-related failures. Considering these pipe failure modes, a new metric known as cumulative pressure-induced stress has been introduced. This metric takes into account both static and dynamic pressure components that contribute to pipe breaks, including mean pressure and the magnitude and frequency of pressure fluctuations, respectively. The impact of CPIS on pipe breaks has not been extensively investigated. Consequently, this study investigates and evaluates the impact of this metric when incorporated as an explanatory variable in Random Forest (RF) models that analyse the key causes of pipe breaks in two WSNs. Different RF models were developed both with and without incorporating pressure components. Subsequently, the performance of these models and the significance of each input variable were assessed. The results of this study suggest that CPIS is an important variable, especially in cases where pressure-related factors play a significant role in pipe breaks. Consequently, incorporating CPIS has shown a notable improvement in the accuracy of pipe break models.
Date Issued
2024-01
Date Acceptance
2023-11-27
Citation
Water Resources Management, 2024, 38 (2), pp.603-619
ISSN
0920-4741
Publisher
Springer
Start Page
603
End Page
619
Journal / Book Title
Water Resources Management
Volume
38
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2023 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03687-7
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2023-12-30