Quantifying the causal effects of 20 mph zones on road casualties in London via doubly robust estimation
File(s)Li and Graham 2016.pdf (692.82 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Graham, DJ
Li, H
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper estimates the causal effect of 20 mph zones on road casualties in London. Potential confounders in the key relationship of interest are included within outcome regression and propensity score models, and the models are then combined to form a doubly robust estimator. A total of 234 treated zones and 2844 potential control zones are included in the data sample. The propensity score model is used to select a viable control group which has common support in the covariate distributions. We compare the doubly robust estimates with those obtained using three other methods: inverse probability weighting, regression adjustment, and propensity score matching. The results indicate that 20 mph zones have had a significant causal impact on road casualty reduction in both absolute and proportional terms.
Date Issued
2016-05-09
Date Acceptance
2016-04-05
Citation
Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2016, 93, pp.65-74
ISSN
0001-4575
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
65
End Page
74
Journal / Book Title
Accident Analysis & Prevention
Volume
93
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Subjects
20mph zones
Causal analysis
Doubly robust methods
Logistics & Transportation
1117 Public Health And Health Services
1507 Transportation And Freight Services
1701 Psychology
Publication Status
Published