Exporter dynamics and partial-year effects
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Accepted version
Published version
Author(s)
Bernard, AB
Boler, EAN
Massari, R
Reyes, JD
Taglioni, D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Two identical firms that start exporting in different months, one each in January
and December, will report dramatically different exports for the first calendar year.
This partial-year effect biases down first year export levels and biases up first year
export growth rates. For Peruvian exporters, the partial-year bias is large: first-
year export levels are understated by 54 percent and the first year growth rate is
overstated by 112 percentage points. Correcting the partial-year effect dramatically
reduces first year export growth rates, raises initial export levels and almost doubles
the contribution of net firm entry and exit to overall export growth.
and December, will report dramatically different exports for the first calendar year.
This partial-year effect biases down first year export levels and biases up first year
export growth rates. For Peruvian exporters, the partial-year bias is large: first-
year export levels are understated by 54 percent and the first year growth rate is
overstated by 112 percentage points. Correcting the partial-year effect dramatically
reduces first year export growth rates, raises initial export levels and almost doubles
the contribution of net firm entry and exit to overall export growth.
Date Issued
2017-10-01
Date Acceptance
2017-05-01
Citation
American Economic Review, 2017, 107 (10), pp.3211-3228
ISSN
0002-8282
Publisher
American Economic Association
Start Page
3211
End Page
3228
Journal / Book Title
American Economic Review
Volume
107
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
Copyright 2017 American Economic Association
Subjects
14 Economics
15 Commerce, Management, Tourism And Services
Economics
Publication Status
Published