Delays in referral from primary care are associated with a worse survival in patients with esophagogastric cancer
File(s)
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
NICE referral guidelines for suspected cancer were introduced to improve prognosis by reducing referral delays. However, over 20% of patients with esophagogastric cancer experience three or more consultations before referral. In this retrospective cohort study, we hypothesize that such a delay is associated with a worse survival compared with patients referred earlier. By utilizing Clinical Practice Research Datalink, a national primary care linked database, the first presentation, referral date, a number of consultations before referral and stage for esophagogastric cancer patients were determined. The risk of a referral after one or two consultations compared with three or more consultations was calculated for age and the presence of symptom fulfilling the NICE criteria. The risk of death according to the number of consultations before referral was determined, while accounting for stage and surgical management. 1307 patients were included. Patients referred after one (HR 0.80 95% CI 0.68-0.93 p = 0.005) or two consultations (HR 0.81 95% CI 0.67-0.98 p = 0.034) demonstrated significantly improved prognosis compared with those referred later. The risk of death was also lower for patients who underwent a resection, were younger or had an earlier stage at diagnosis. Those presenting with a symptom fulfilling the NICE criteria (OR 0.27 95% CI 0.21-0.35 p < 0.0001) were more likely to be referred earlier. This is the first study to demonstrate an association between a delay in referral and worse prognosis in esophagogastric patients. These findings should prompt further research to reduce primary care delays.
Date Issued
2019-10-01
Date Acceptance
2019-03-01
Citation
Diseases of the Esophagus, 2019, 32 (10), pp.1-11
ISSN
1120-8694
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
1
End Page
11
Journal / Book Title
Diseases of the Esophagus
Volume
32
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
©The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus.All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail:journals.permissions@oup.com. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in Diseases of the Esophagus following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version is available online at: https://academic.oup.com/dote/advance-article/doi/10.1093/dote/doy132/5367737
Sponsor
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
National Institute of Health Research
National Institute for Health Research
National Institute for Health Research
Dr Foster Intelligence
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30820525
PII: 5367737
Grant Number
RDOTH 79560
72100-74250
DRF-2014-07-088
n/a
n/a
Subjects
esophagogastric cancer
primary care
referral delays
survival
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Date Publish Online
2019-03-01