Mortality in children with fulminant myocarditis: a six-year multicenter retrospective study
File(s)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background
Fulminant myocarditis (FM) in children can progress rapidly to cardiogenic shock, with high risk of mortality. Early recognition of prognostic markers is critical to guide timely escalation of circulatory support. This multicenter study sought to characterize clinical features and identify early predictors of in-hospital mortality in pediatric FM.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients <18 years with FM admitted to eight ECMO-capable pediatric intensive care units between January 2018 and August 2023. Clinical, biochemical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of mortality, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to assess discriminatory performance.
Results
A total of 187 children were included; 157 (84.0%) required ECMO. In-hospital mortality was 16.6% (31/187). Univariate analysis identified elevated CK-MB, higher peak lactate, and ventricular tachycardia as associated with mortality. In multivariate analysis, peak lactate (AUC 0.791) and CK-MB (AUC 0.774) remained independent predictors. A combined model of peak lactate and ventricular tachycardia demonstrated moderate discrimination (AUC 0.772), whereas a composite model incorporating CK-MB, peak lactate, and ventricular tachycardia achieved the best predictive performance (AUC 0.815). Elevated lactate measured 12 h after initiation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or intensive conventional therapy further increased mortality risk (OR 1.219, 95% CI 1.004–1.481).
Conclusion
Peak lactate, CK-MB, and ventricular tachycardia are early independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in pediatric FM. Persistent hyperlactatemia within 12 h of advanced support provides additional prognostic value and may assist clinicians in early risk stratification.
Fulminant myocarditis (FM) in children can progress rapidly to cardiogenic shock, with high risk of mortality. Early recognition of prognostic markers is critical to guide timely escalation of circulatory support. This multicenter study sought to characterize clinical features and identify early predictors of in-hospital mortality in pediatric FM.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients <18 years with FM admitted to eight ECMO-capable pediatric intensive care units between January 2018 and August 2023. Clinical, biochemical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of mortality, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to assess discriminatory performance.
Results
A total of 187 children were included; 157 (84.0%) required ECMO. In-hospital mortality was 16.6% (31/187). Univariate analysis identified elevated CK-MB, higher peak lactate, and ventricular tachycardia as associated with mortality. In multivariate analysis, peak lactate (AUC 0.791) and CK-MB (AUC 0.774) remained independent predictors. A combined model of peak lactate and ventricular tachycardia demonstrated moderate discrimination (AUC 0.772), whereas a composite model incorporating CK-MB, peak lactate, and ventricular tachycardia achieved the best predictive performance (AUC 0.815). Elevated lactate measured 12 h after initiation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or intensive conventional therapy further increased mortality risk (OR 1.219, 95% CI 1.004–1.481).
Conclusion
Peak lactate, CK-MB, and ventricular tachycardia are early independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in pediatric FM. Persistent hyperlactatemia within 12 h of advanced support provides additional prognostic value and may assist clinicians in early risk stratification.
Date Issued
2026-01-01
Date Acceptance
2026-01-01
Citation
Annals of Intensive Care, 2026, 16
ISSN
2110-5820
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Journal / Book Title
Annals of Intensive Care
Volume
16
Copyright Statement
© 2026 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Masson SAS on behalf of Société de Réanimation de Langue Française (French Intensive Care Society). This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Identifier
10.1016/j.aicoj.2026.100030
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
100030
Date Publish Online
2026-01-23