Conditionally elicitable dynamic risk measures for deep reinforcement learning
File(s)22m1527209.pdf (1.17 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Coache, Anthony
Jaimungal, Sebastian
Cartea, Álvaro
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We propose a novel framework to solve risk-sensitive reinforcement learning problems where the agent optimizes time-consistent dynamic spectral risk measures. Based on the notion of conditional elicitability, our methodology constructs (strictly consistent) scoring functions that are used as penalizers in the estimation procedure. Our contribution is threefold: we (i) devise an efficient approach to estimate a class of dynamic spectral risk measures with deep neural networks, (ii) prove that these dynamic spectral risk measures may be approximated to any arbitrary accuracy using deep neural networks, and (iii) develop a risk-sensitive actor-critic algorithm that uses full episodes and does not require any additional nested transitions. We compare our conceptually improved reinforcement learning algorithm with the nested simulation approach and illustrate its performance in two settings: statistical arbitrage and portfolio allocation on both simulated and real data.
Date Issued
2023-12
Date Acceptance
2023-07-05
Citation
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 2023, 14 (4), pp.1249-1289
ISSN
1945-497X
Publisher
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Start Page
1249
End Page
1289
Journal / Book Title
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
Volume
14
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© 2023 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.
Coache, Anthony, Sebastian Jaimungal, and Álvaro Cartea. "Conditionally elicitable dynamic risk measures for deep reinforcement learning." SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics 14.4 (2023): 1249-1289.
Coache, Anthony, Sebastian Jaimungal, and Álvaro Cartea. "Conditionally elicitable dynamic risk measures for deep reinforcement learning." SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics 14.4 (2023): 1249-1289.
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1137/22m1527209
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2023-11-14