Impact of drilling costs on the US gas industry: prospects for automation
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Published version
Author(s)
Crow, DJG
Anderson, K
Hawkes, AD
Brandon, N
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Recent low gas prices have greatly increased pressure on drilling companies to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Field trials have shown that implementing automation can dramatically reduce drilling costs by reducing the time required to drill wells. This study uses the DYNamic upstreAm gAs MOdel (DYNAAMO), a new techno-economic, bottom-up model of natural gas supply, to quantitatively assess the economic impact of lower drilling costs on the US upstream gas industry. A sensitivity analysis of three key economic indicators is presented, with results quoted for the most common field types currently producing, including unconventional and offshore gas. While all operating environments show increased profitability from drilling automation, it is found that conventional onshore reserves can benefit to the greatest extent. For large gas fields, a 50% reduction in drilling costs is found to reduce initial project breakevens by up to 17 million USD per billion cubic metres (MUSD/BCM) and mid-plateau breakevens by up to 8 MUSD/BCM. In this same scenario, additional volumes of around 160 BCM of unconventional gas are shown to become commercial due to both the lower costs of additional production wells in mature fields and the viability of developing new resources held in smaller fields. The capital efficiency of onshore projects increases by 50%-100%, with initial project net present value (NPV) gains of up to 32%.
Date Issued
2018-09-01
Date Acceptance
2018-08-21
Citation
Energies, 2018, 11 (9)
ISSN
1996-1073
Publisher
MDPI AG
Journal / Book Title
Energies
Volume
11
Issue
9
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0 - https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Sponsor
Shell Global Solutions International BV
Grant Number
PO 4550156770
Subjects
09 Engineering
02 Physical Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
2241
Date Publish Online
2018-08-27