Predicting spatio-temporal traffic flow: a comprehensive end-to-end approach from surveillance cameras
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Traffic flow forecasting is an essential aspect of intelligent traffic management. It enables timely and proactive management of modern transport systems, increasing efficiency and resilience. However, accurately predicting short-term traffic flow is challenging due to its uncertain and interconnected nature. Traditional methods like loop detectors and high-resolution cameras have limited scalability. To address this, we propose a two-stage approach using low-resolution surveillance cameras. The first stage involves a vision-based data extraction module with calibration, vehicle detection, and tracking. Integration of Region of Interest, fine-tuning, and post-processing improves the robustness of low-resolution videos. In the second stage, a novel deep learning model extracts spatio-temporal features from historical traffic data for short-term flow prediction. The proposed model outperforms the STGCN model, achieving an 11.19% increase in MAE, a 12.37% improvement in RMSE and a 4.97% reduction in inference time. These advances highlight its potential for further research and applications in the field.
Date Issued
2024-12
Date Acceptance
2024-07-12
Citation
Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, 2024, 12 (1)
ISSN
2168-0566
Publisher
Informa UK Limited
Journal / Book Title
Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics
Volume
12
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided
the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow
the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided
the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow
the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21680566.2024.2380915
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
2380915
Date Publish Online
2024-07-22