Improving wind power modelling through granular spatial and temporal bias correction of reanalysis data
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Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
There is a need for efficient methods to simulate wind power output to assist the expected rapid uptake of new wind farms. Reanalysis products provide our best estimate for the previous state of the atmosphere and are popular due to their global coverage and convenience. However, these models are known to misestimate wind power output by up to ±50% due to significant spatial biases. Previous work applied bias correction methods to improve power simulations. However, there has been no assessment of the spatial and temporal resolution that these bias correction factors should be derived at for the best accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the impact of the spatial and temporal resolution by grouping turbines into a varying number of clusters and varying the frequency at which correction factors are calculated across a year. The correction factors are used to simulate the power output of 4,834 turbines across Denmark resulting in monthly capacity factors. The best correction scenario decreased the error of simulated outputs by 43%. Increasing the spatial resolution of bias correction reduced the error by up to 11%. Correction factors with a bimonthly (every two months) frequency decreased the error by 3% from the time-independent correction factors.
Date Issued
2024-12-30
Date Acceptance
2024-11-06
Citation
Energy, 2024, 313
ISSN
0360-5442
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Energy
Volume
313
Copyright Statement
0360-5442/© 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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Subjects
Capacity factor
Energy & Fuels
ERA5
Physical Sciences
PRODUCTS
Reanalysis
Science & Technology
Technology
Thermodynamics
TIME-SERIES
Wind power
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
133759
Date Publish Online
2024-11-17