Epidemic models of contact tracing: systematic review of transmission studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory syndrome
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The emergence and reemergence of coronavirus epidemics sparked renewed concerns from global epidemiology researchers and public health administrators. Mathematical models that represented how contact tracing and follow-up may control Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) transmissions were developed for evaluating different infection control interventions, estimating likely number of infections as well as facilitating understanding of their likely epidemiology. We reviewed mathematical models for contact tracing and follow-up control measures of SARS and MERS transmission. Model characteristics, epidemiological parameters and intervention parameters used in the mathematical models from seven studies were summarized. A major concern identified in future epidemics is whether public health administrators can collect all the required data for building epidemiological models in a short period of time during the early phase of an outbreak. Also, currently available models do not explicitly model constrained resources. We urge for closed-loop communication between public health administrators and modelling researchers to come up with guidelines to delineate the collection of the required data in the midst of an outbreak and the inclusion of additional logistical details in future similar models.
Date Issued
2019-01-26
Date Acceptance
2019-01-19
Citation
Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal, 2019, 17, pp.186-194
ISSN
2001-0370
Publisher
Research Network of Computational and Structural Biotechnology
Start Page
186
End Page
194
Journal / Book Title
Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal
Volume
17
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Research Network of Computational and Structural Biotechnology. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30809323
PII: S2001-0370(18)30170-3
Subjects
Co-V, Coronavirus
Contact Tracing
Coronavirus Epidemics
MERS
MERS, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome
R0, Basic reproduction number
SARS
SARS, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
SEIR, Susceptible Exposed Infectious Recovered
Transmission Modelling
WHO, World Health Organization
Publication Status
Published online
Coverage Spatial
Netherlands
Date Publish Online
2019-01-26