Host-region parameters for an adjustable model for crustal earthquakes to facilitate the implementation of the backbone approach to building ground-motion logic trees in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
File(s)87552930211063221(1).pdf (2.71 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Stafford, Peter
Boore, David M
Youngs, Robert R
Bommer, Julian J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
he backbone approach to constructing a ground-motion logic-tree for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) can address shortcomings in the traditional approach of populating the branches with multiple existing, or potentially modified, ground-motion models (GMM) by rendering more transparent the relationship between branch weights and the resulting distribution of predicted accelerations. In order to capture epistemic uncertainty in a tractable manner, there are benefits in building the logic tree through the application of successive adjustments for differences in source, path and site characteristics between the host-region of the selected backbone GMM and the target region for which the PSHA is being conducted. The implementation of this approach is facilitated by selecting a backbone GMM that is amenable to such host-to-target adjustments for individual source, path, and site characteristics. The NGA-West2 GMM of Chiou and Youngs (2014, CY14) has been identified as a highly adaptable model for crustal seismicity that is well suited to such adjustments. Rather than using generic source, path and site characteristics assumed appropriate for the host region, the final suite of adjusted GMMs for the target region will be better constrained if the host-region parameters are defined specifically on the basis of their compatibility with the CY14 backbone GMM. To this end, making use of a recently developed crustal shear-wave velocity profile consistent with CY14, we present an inversion of the model to estimate the key source and path parameters, namely the stress parameter and the anelastic attenuation. With these outputs, the effort in constructing a ground-motion logic-tree for any PSHA dealing with crustal seismicity can be focused primarily on the estimation of the target-region characteristics and their associated uncertainties. The inversion procedure can also be adapted for any application in which different constraints might be relevant
Date Issued
2022-05-01
Date Acceptance
2021-11-11
Citation
Earthquake Spectra, 2022, 38 (2), pp.917-949
ISSN
8755-2930
Publisher
Earthquake Engineering Research Institute
Start Page
917
End Page
949
Journal / Book Title
Earthquake Spectra
Volume
38
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2022. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).
License URL
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Engineering, Civil
Engineering, Geological
Engineering
PSHA
ground-motion logic trees
backbone GMM
host-region parameters
Fourier spectral inversion
RESPONSE SPECTRA
POINT-SOURCE
PREDICTION
SIMULATIONS
ATTENUATION
METHODOLOGY
UNCERTAINTY
AMPLITUDES
CALIFORNIA
STRESS
Strategic, Defence & Security Studies
0905 Civil Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-01-27