A large ozone-circulation feedback and its implications for global warming assessments
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
State-of-the-art climate models now include more climate processes simulated at higher spatial resolution than ever1. Nevertheless, some processes, such as atmospheric chemical feedbacks, are still computationally expensive and are often ignored in climate simulations1,2. Here we present evidence that the representation of stratospheric ozone in climate models can have a first-order impact on estimates of effective climate sensitivity. Using a comprehensive atmosphere–ocean chemistry–climate model, we find an increase in global mean surface warming of around 1 °C (~20%) after 75 years when ozone is prescribed at pre-industrial levels compared with when it is allowed to evolve self-consistently in response to an abrupt 4×CO2 forcing. The difference is primarily attributed to changes in long-wave radiative feedbacks associated with circulation-driven decreases in tropical lower stratospheric ozone and related stratospheric water vapour and cirrus cloud changes. This has important implications for global model intercomparison studies1,2 in which participating models often use simplified treatments of atmospheric composition changes that are consistent with neither the specified greenhouse gas forcing scenario nor the associated atmospheric circulation feedbacks3,4,5.
Date Issued
2015-01-01
Date Acceptance
2014-10-30
Citation
Nature Climate Change, 2015, 5 (1), pp.41-45
ISSN
1758-678X
Publisher
Nature Research
Start Page
41
End Page
45
Journal / Book Title
Nature Climate Change
Volume
5
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved. The final publication is available at Springer via https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2451
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000346513900016&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Physical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
Environmental Studies
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
IMPLEMENTATION
CMIP5
PERTURBATIONS
MODEL
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2014-12-01