Reducing uncertainty in 21st century sea-level predictions and beyond
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Author(s)
Siegert, Martin
Pearson, Pam
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Sea-level rise is one of the most critical issues the world faces under global warming. Around 680 million people (10% of the world’s population) live in low-lying coastal regions that are susceptible to flooding through storm surges and from sea-water infiltration of fresh groundwater reserves, degradation of farmland and accelerated coastal erosion, among other impacts. Rising sea level will exacerbate these problems and lead to societal impacts ranging from crop and water-supply failures to breakdowns of city infrastructures. In time, it is likely such changes will necessitate the migration of people with substantial economic cost and social upheaval. Here, we discuss the physical processes influencing 21st Century sea-level rise, the importance of not using 2100 alone as a benchmark, the changes that are already locked in, especially after 2100, and those that can be avoided. We also consider the need for both adaptation and mitigation measures and early warning systems in this challenging global problem. Finally, we discuss how the scientific prediction of sea level rise can improved through international coordination, cooperation and cost sharing.
Date Issued
2021-09-30
Date Acceptance
2021-09-16
Citation
Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2021, 9
ISSN
2296-665X
Publisher
Frontiers Media
Journal / Book Title
Frontiers in Environmental Science
Volume
9
Copyright Statement
© 2021 Siegert and Pearson. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
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Subjects
0502 Environmental Science and Management
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 751978
Date Publish Online
2021-09-30