The global burden of viral hepatitis from 1990 to 2013: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
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Supporting information
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background:
With recent improvements in vaccines and treatments against viral hepatitis, a better understanding of the burden of viral hepatitis is needed to inform global intervention strategies. We present estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study of morbidity and mortality for acute viral hepatitis, and for cirrhosis and liver cancer due to viral hepatitis by age, sex and country for 1990 through 2013.
Methods:
Mortality was estimated using natural history models for acute hepatitis and GBD’s cause-of-death ensemble model for cirrhosis and liver cancer. We estimated disease prevalence, and liver cancer and cirrhosis aetiologies via meta-regression. Disability adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs).
Findings:
Between 1990 and 2013, viral hepatitis deaths increased from 0·90 million (95% uncertainty interval 0·86 – 0·94) to 1·45 million (1·38–1·54); YLLs increased from 31·0 million (29·6–32·6) to 41·6 million (39·1–44·7); YLDs, from 0·65 million (0·45–0·89) to 0·87 million (0·61–1·18); and DALYs, from 31·7 million (30·2– 33·3) to 42·5 million (39·9–45·6). In 2013, viral hepatitis was the 7th leading cause of death globally.
Interpretation:
Viral hepatitis is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Unlike most communicable diseases, between 1990 and 2013, viral hepatitis has increased in terms of both absolute burden and its relative rank.
With recent improvements in vaccines and treatments against viral hepatitis, a better understanding of the burden of viral hepatitis is needed to inform global intervention strategies. We present estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study of morbidity and mortality for acute viral hepatitis, and for cirrhosis and liver cancer due to viral hepatitis by age, sex and country for 1990 through 2013.
Methods:
Mortality was estimated using natural history models for acute hepatitis and GBD’s cause-of-death ensemble model for cirrhosis and liver cancer. We estimated disease prevalence, and liver cancer and cirrhosis aetiologies via meta-regression. Disability adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs).
Findings:
Between 1990 and 2013, viral hepatitis deaths increased from 0·90 million (95% uncertainty interval 0·86 – 0·94) to 1·45 million (1·38–1·54); YLLs increased from 31·0 million (29·6–32·6) to 41·6 million (39·1–44·7); YLDs, from 0·65 million (0·45–0·89) to 0·87 million (0·61–1·18); and DALYs, from 31·7 million (30·2– 33·3) to 42·5 million (39·9–45·6). In 2013, viral hepatitis was the 7th leading cause of death globally.
Interpretation:
Viral hepatitis is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Unlike most communicable diseases, between 1990 and 2013, viral hepatitis has increased in terms of both absolute burden and its relative rank.
Date Issued
2016-07-07
Date Acceptance
2016-04-15
Citation
The Lancet, 2016, 388 (10049), pp.1081-1088
ISSN
0099-5355
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
1081
End Page
1088
Journal / Book Title
The Lancet
Volume
388
Issue
10049
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140673616305797?via%3Dihub
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Medicine, General & Internal
General & Internal Medicine
CASE-FATALITY RATE
B-VIRUS-INFECTION
SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS
DISABILITY WEIGHTS
ANTIVIRAL THERAPY
UNITED-STATES
AGE
SEROPREVALENCE
COUNTRIES
General & Internal Medicine
11 Medical and Health Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2016-07-07