Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year-to-year andweek-to-week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for andresponding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinelycollect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data oncirculating subtypes and use this data for situational awareness, burden of diseaseestimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling areincreasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key featuresof influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can betranslated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informingclinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza IncidenceAnalytics Group (IIAG),a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics andmodelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real-time andthus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data toWHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to healthplanners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to beimmediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code.We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide anattractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonalepidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.
Date Issued
2020-03
Date Acceptance
2019-11-08
Citation
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 2020, 14 (2), pp.105-110
ISSN
1750-2640
Publisher
Wiley Open Access
Start Page
105
End Page
110
Journal / Book Title
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses
Volume
14
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2019 The Authors. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Sponsor
Medical Research Council (MRC)
National Institute for Health Research
Wellcome Trust
Wellcome Trust
Medical Research Council
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Identifier
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/irv.12705
Grant Number
MR/K010174/1B
HPRU-2012-10064
200187/Z/15/Z
200861/Z/16/Z
MR/R015600/1
MR/R015600/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Infectious Diseases
Virology
forecasting
incidence
influenza
TRANSMISSION
SPREAD
TOOL
forecasting
incidence
influenza
Virology
1103 Clinical Sciences
1117 Public Health and Health Services
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-12-03