A refined model for the Earth’s global energy balance
File(s)
Author(s)
Ceppi, P
Gregory, JM
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
A commonly-used model of the global radiative budget assumes that the radiative response to forcing, R, is proportional to global surface air temperature T, R= λT. Previous studies have highlighted two unresolved issues with this model: first, the feedback parameter λ depends on the forcing agent; second, λ varies with time. Here, we investigate the factors controlling R in two atmosphere–slab ocean climate models subjected to a wide range of abrupt climate forcings. It is found that R scales not only with T, but also with the large-scale tropospheric stability S (defined here as the estimated inversion strength area-averaged over ocean regions equatorward of 50∘). Positive S promotes negative R, mainly through shortwave cloud and lapse-rate changes. A refined model of the global energy balance is proposed that accounts for both temperature and stability effects. This refined model quantitatively explains (1) the dependence of climate feedbacks on forcing agent (or equivalently, differences in forcing efficacy), and (2) the time evolution of feedbacks in coupled climate model experiments. Furthermore, a similar relationship between R and S is found in observations compared with models, lending confidence that the refined energy balance model is applicable to the real world.
Date Issued
2019-10-01
Date Acceptance
2019-05-20
Citation
Climate Dynamics, 2019, 53 (7-8), pp.4781-4797
ISSN
0930-7575
Publisher
Springer
Start Page
4781
End Page
4797
Journal / Book Title
Climate Dynamics
Volume
53
Issue
7-8
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2019. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
0401 Atmospheric Sciences
0405 Oceanography
0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-05-28