Estimated projection of oral squamous cell carcinoma annual incidence from twenty years registry data: a retrospective cross-sectional study in Indonesia
Author(s)
Rahadiani, Nur
Habiburrahman, Muhammad
Stephanie, Marini
Handjari, Diah Rini
Krisnuhoni, Ening
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The incidence of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) has not been well documented in Indonesia. Thus, we aimed to analyze trends and clinicopathological profiles of OSCC cases in Indonesia, focusing on differences between age and sex groups. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in Indonesia's main referral hospital, analyzing 1,093 registered OSCC cases from 2001 to 2020. Trend analysis was performed using Joinpoint regression analysis to determine the annual percentage change (APC) for overall cases and each case group based on age, sex, and anatomical subsites. APC significance was assessed using a Monte Carlo permutation test. The projection of case numbers for the following 5 years (2021-2025) was estimated using linear/non-linear regression analysis and presented as a mathematical function. The significance of the trend slope was measured using an ANOVA test. Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of OSCC were analyzed according to age and sex, and their comparative analysis was assessed using Chi-square and its alternatives. RESULTS: The incidence of OSCC in female patients and in the tongue and buccal mucosa showed a positive trend (APC 2.06%; 3.48%; 8.62%, respectively). Moreover, the incidence of OSCC overall, and in women with OSCC, is projected to increase significantly in the next 5 years following the quadratic model. The mean age of patients was 51.09 ± 14.36 years, with male patients being younger than female patients. The male-to-female ratio was 1.15, and 36.5% of these patients were categorized as young (≤45 years old). The tongue was the predominantly affected site. Prominent pathologic characteristics included well-differentiation, keratinization, and grade I of Bryne's (1992) cellular differentiation stage. Most patients presented with advanced staging, lymphovascular invasion, and uninvaded margins. Tumor sites and staging varied according to age, while age and tumor sites differed between sexes. CONCLUSION: The rising incidence trends of OSCC among Indonesian patients, both in the past and projected future, are concerning and warrant attention. Further research into risk factors should be conducted as preventive measures.
Date Issued
2023-08-29
Date Acceptance
2023-07-26
Citation
PeerJ, 2023, 11
ISSN
2167-8359
Publisher
PeerJ Inc.
Journal / Book Title
PeerJ
Volume
11
Copyright Statement
© 2023 Rahadiani et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. For attribution, the original author(s), title, publication source (PeerJ) and either DOI or URL of the article must be cited.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37663292
Subjects
Adult
Aged
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell
Cross-Sectional Studies
Female
Head and Neck Neoplasms
Humans
Incidence
Indonesia
Male
Middle Aged
Mouth Neoplasms
Retrospective Studies
Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck
Forecasting
Incidence
Indonesia
Oral squamous cell carcinoma
Trends
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Article Number
e15911
Date Publish Online
2023-08-29