Global force-of-infection trends for human <i>taenia solium</i> taeniasis/cysticercosis
File(s)
Author(s)
Type
Working Paper
Abstract
Infection by Taenia solium poses a major burden across endemic countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) 2021–2030 Neglected Tropical Diseases roadmap has proposed that 30% of endemic countries achieve intensified T. solium control in hyperendemic areas by 2030. Understanding geographical variation in age-prevalence profiles and force-of-infection (FoI) estimates will inform intervention designs across settings. Human taeniasis (HTT) and human cysticercosis (HCC) age-prevalence data from 16 studies in Latin America, Africa and Asia were extracted through a systematic review. Catalytic models, incorporating diagnostic performance uncertainty, were fitted to the data using Bayesian methods, to estimate rates of antibody (Ab)-seroconversion, infection acquisition and Ab-seroreversion or infection loss. HCC FoI and Ab-seroreversion rates were also estimated across 23 departments in Colombia from 28,100 individuals. Across settings, there was extensive variation in all-ages seroprevalence. Evidence for Ab- seroreversion or infection loss was found in most settings for both HTT and HCC and for HCC Ab- seroreversion in Colombia. The average duration until humans became Ab-seropositive/infected decreased as all-age (sero)prevalence increased. There was no clear relationship between the average duration humans remain Ab-seropositive and all-age seroprevalence. Marked geographical heterogeneity in T. solium transmission rates indicate the need for setting- specific intervention strategies to achieve the WHO goals.
Date Issued
2022-02-11
Citation
2022
Publisher
Medrxiv
Copyright Statement
©2022 The Author(s)
Sponsor
Medical Research Council
Identifier
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.02.11.22270710v1
Grant Number
MR/K501281/1
Publication Status
Published