Hazard and risk assessments for induced seismicity in Groningen
File(s)van Elk et al 2018_NJG.pdf (1.22 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Earthquakes associated with gas production have been recorded in the northern part of the Netherlands since 1986. The Huizinge earthquake of 16 August 2012, the strongest so far with a magnitude of M L = 3.6, prompted reassessment of the seismicity induced by production from the Groningen gas field. An international research programme was initiated, with the participation of many Dutch and international universities, knowledge institutes and recognised experts.
The prime aim of the programme was to assess the hazard and risk resulting from the induced seismicity. Classic probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment (PSHA) was implemented using a Monte Carlo method. The scope of the research programme extended from the cause (production of gas from the underground reservoir) to the effects (risk to people and damage to buildings). Data acquisition through field measurements and laboratory experiments was a substantial element of the research programme. The existing geophone and accelerometer monitoring network was extended, a new network of accelerometers in building foundations was installed, geophones were placed at reservoir level in deep wells, GPS stations were installed and a gravity survey was conducted.
Results of the probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment have been published in production plans submitted to the Minister of Economic Affairs, Winningsplan Groningen 2013 and 2016 and several intermediate updates. The studies and data acquisition further constrained the uncertainties and resulted in a reduction of the initially assessed hazard and risk.
The prime aim of the programme was to assess the hazard and risk resulting from the induced seismicity. Classic probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment (PSHA) was implemented using a Monte Carlo method. The scope of the research programme extended from the cause (production of gas from the underground reservoir) to the effects (risk to people and damage to buildings). Data acquisition through field measurements and laboratory experiments was a substantial element of the research programme. The existing geophone and accelerometer monitoring network was extended, a new network of accelerometers in building foundations was installed, geophones were placed at reservoir level in deep wells, GPS stations were installed and a gravity survey was conducted.
Results of the probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment have been published in production plans submitted to the Minister of Economic Affairs, Winningsplan Groningen 2013 and 2016 and several intermediate updates. The studies and data acquisition further constrained the uncertainties and resulted in a reduction of the initially assessed hazard and risk.
Date Issued
2017-12-31
Date Acceptance
2017-10-02
Citation
Netherlands Journal of Geosciences, 2017, 96 (Special Issue 5), pp.2259-s269
ISSN
0016-7746
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Start Page
2259
End Page
s269
Journal / Book Title
Netherlands Journal of Geosciences
Volume
96
Issue
Special Issue 5
Copyright Statement
© Netherlands Journal of Geosciences Foundation 2018. This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits noncommercial
re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The
written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits noncommercial
re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The
written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Subjects
0403 Geology
0914 Resources Engineering And Extractive Metallurgy
Paleontology
Publication Status
Published