A process to analyze strategic design and management decisions under uncertainty in complex entrepreneurial systems
File(s)
Author(s)
De Lessio, Mark P
Cardin, Michel-Alexandre
Astaman, Angel
Djie, Valerie
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper proposes a process to support strategic design and management of complex entrepreneurial systems under uncertainty. The process is designed to help designers and decisions-makers readily identify valuable opportunities for flexibility as a way to deal pro-actively with uncertainty and improve strategically the lifecycle performance of the system as it is designed, deployed, and managed in operations. The process relies on the novel concept of a layered design structure matrix (DSM), which provides gradually a systems-level representation of the enterprise system starting at an early stage, and gaining more details as more information becomes available about the system and its environment. The resulting layered DSM is used to identify performance-enhancing flexibility strategies in the design and management of the system. The flexibility, providing the “right, but not the obligation, to change the system in the face of uncertainty” provides contingencies to minimize exposure to downside risks, and to enable the system to capture upside opportunities—thereby improving expected lifecycle performance. The process is applied as a demonstration to the analysis of a startup system in the sector of mobility on-demand transportation. Strategic-level opportunities for flexibility are identified systematically, and real options analysis is used to demonstrate quantitatively lifecycle performance improvement as compared to baseline design concepts.
Date Issued
2016-01-27
Date Acceptance
2015-12-09
Citation
Systems Engineering, 2016, 18 (6), pp.604-624
ISSN
1098-1241
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
604
End Page
624
Journal / Book Title
Systems Engineering
Volume
18
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. This is the accepted version of the following article: De Lessio, M.P., Cardin, M.-A., Astaman, A. and Djie, V. (2015), A Process to Analyze Strategic Design and Management Decisions Under Uncertainty in Complex Entrepreneurial Systems. Syst. Engin., 18: 604-624, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1002/sys.21330
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000369160700004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Engineering, Industrial
Operations Research & Management Science
Engineering
entrepreneurial organization
design structure matrix
flexibility in engineering design
mobility on-demand transportation
real options analysis
ENGINEERING SYSTEMS
FLEXIBILITY
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2016-01-27