A systematic review of diagnostic and prognostic models of chronic kidney disease in low- and middle- income countries
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Carrillo Larco, Rodrigo
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Objective: To summarize available chronic kidney disease (CKD) diagnostic and prognostic models in Low- and Middle-Income countries (LMIC) Method: Systematic review (PRISMA guidelines). We searched Medline, EMBASE, Global Health (these three through OVID), Scopus and Web of Science from inception to April 9th, 2021, April 17th, 2021 and April 18th, 2021, respectively . We first screened titles and abstracts, and then studied in detail the selected reports; both phases were conducted by two reviewers independently. We followed the CHARMS recommendations and used the PROBAST for risk of bias assessment. Results: The search retrieved 14,845 results, 11 reports were studied in detail and nine (n= 61,134) were included in the qualitative analysis. The proportion of women in the study population varied between 24.5%-76.6%, and the mean age ranged between 41.8-57.7 years. Prevalence of undiagnosed chronic kidney disease ranged between 1.1%-29.7%. Age, diabetes mellitus and sex were the most common predictors in the diagnostic and prognostic models. Outcome definition varied greatly, mostly consisting of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio and estimated glomerular filtration rate. The highest performance metric was the negative predictive value. All studies exhibited high risk of bias, and some had methodological limitations. Conclusion: There is no strong evidence to support the use of a CKD diagnostic or prognostic model throughout LMIC. The development, validation and implementation of risk scores must be a research and public health priority in LMIC to enhance CKD screening to improve timely diagnosis.
Date Issued
2022-03-15
Date Acceptance
2022-02-23
Citation
BMJ Open, 2022, 12
ISSN
2044-6055
Publisher
BMJ Journals
Journal / Book Title
BMJ Open
Volume
12
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to copy, redistribute, remix, transform and build upon this work for any purpose, provided the original work is properly cited, a link to the licence is given, and indication of whether changes were made. See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to copy, redistribute, remix, transform and build upon this work for any purpose, provided the original work is properly cited, a link to the licence is given, and indication of whether changes were made. See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Sponsor
Wellcome Trust
Identifier
https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/3/e058921
Grant Number
214185/Z/18/Z
Subjects
chronic renal failure
epidemiology
nephrology
public health
1103 Clinical Sciences
1117 Public Health and Health Services
1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
Publication Status
Published