Risk assessment of wind droughts over India
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Author(s)
Gangopadhyay, A
Sparks, NJ
Toumi, R
Seshadri, AK
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Wind power growth makes it essential to simulate
weather variability and its impacts on the electricity
grid. Low-probability, high-impact weather events such
as a wind drought are important but difficult to identify based on limited historical datasets. A stochastic
weather generator, Imperial College Weather Generator (IMAGE), is employed to identify extreme events
through long-period simulations. IMAGE captures
mean, spatial correlation and seasonality in wind speed
and estimates return periods of extreme wind events
over India. Simulations show that when Rajasthan experiences wind drought, southern India continues to
have wind, and vice versa. Regional grid-scale wind
droughts could be avoided if grids are strongly interconnected across the country.
weather variability and its impacts on the electricity
grid. Low-probability, high-impact weather events such
as a wind drought are important but difficult to identify based on limited historical datasets. A stochastic
weather generator, Imperial College Weather Generator (IMAGE), is employed to identify extreme events
through long-period simulations. IMAGE captures
mean, spatial correlation and seasonality in wind speed
and estimates return periods of extreme wind events
over India. Simulations show that when Rajasthan experiences wind drought, southern India continues to
have wind, and vice versa. Regional grid-scale wind
droughts could be avoided if grids are strongly interconnected across the country.
Date Issued
2022-05-25
Date Acceptance
2022-03-01
Citation
Current Science, 2022, 122 (10), pp.1145-1153
ISSN
0011-3891
Publisher
Indian Academy of Sciences
Start Page
1145
End Page
1153
Journal / Book Title
Current Science
Volume
122
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
© 2022 EBSCO Industries, Inc. All rights reserved.
Sponsor
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000829938100017&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Grant Number
IITM/MM-II/Imperial College/IN
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
Decarbonization
grid interconnections
risk assessment
stochastic weather generators
wind drought
WEATHER
Publication Status
Published