epiflows : an R package for risk assessment of travel- related spread of disease [version 1; referees: 2 approved with reservations]
File(s)
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
As international travel increases worldwide, new surveillance tools are needed to help identify locations where diseases are most likely to be spread and prevention measures need to be implemented. In this paper we present epiflows, an R package for risk assessment of travel-related spread of disease. epiflows produces estimates of the expected number of symptomatic and/or asymptomatic infections that could be introduced to other locations from the source of infection. Estimates (average and confidence intervals) of the number of infections introduced elsewhere are obtained by integrating data on the cumulative number of cases reported, population movement, length of stay and information on the distributions of the incubation and infectious periods of the disease. The package also provides tools for geocoding and visualization. We illustrate the use of epiflows by assessing the risk of travel-related spread of yellow fever cases in Southeast Brazil in December 2016 to May 2017.
Date Issued
2018-08-31
Date Acceptance
2018-08-22
Citation
F1000Research, 2018, 7
ISSN
2046-1402
Publisher
F1000 Research Ltd
Journal / Book Title
F1000Research
Volume
7
Copyright Statement
© 2018 Moraga P et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Data associated with the article are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Zero "No rights reserved" data waiver (CC0 1.0 Public domain dedication).
Sponsor
Medical Research Council (MRC)
National Institute for Health Research
Grant Number
MR/K010174/1B
HPRU-2012-10080
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 1374