Land use regression models for the oxidative potential of fine particles (PM2.5) in five European areas
File(s)ER_2017_1184_OP_PM_LUR_MANUSCRIPT.docx (2.48 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Oxidative potential (OP) of particulate matter (PM) is proposed as a biologically-relevant exposure metric for studies of air pollution and health. We aimed to evaluate the spatial variability of the OP of measured PM2.5 using ascorbate (AA) and (reduced) glutathione (GSH), and develop land use regression (LUR) models to explain this spatial variability. We estimated annual average values (m(-3)) of OP(AA) and OP(GSH) for five areas (Basel, CH; Catalonia, ES; London-Oxford, UK (no OP(GSH)); the Netherlands; and Turin, IT) using PM2.5 filters. OP(AA) and OP(GSH) LUR models were developed using all monitoring sites, separately for each area and combined-areas. The same variables were then used in repeated sub-sampling of monitoring sites to test sensitivity of variable selection; new variables were offered where variables were excluded (p > .1). On average, measurements of OP(AA) and OP(GSH) were moderately correlated (maximum Pearson's maximum Pearson's R = = .7) with PM2.5 and other metrics (PM2.5absorbance, NO2, Cu, Fe). HOV (hold-out validation) R(2) for OP(AA) models was .21, .58, .45, .53, and .13 for Basel, Catalonia, London-Oxford, the Netherlands and Turin respectively. For OP(GSH), the only model achieving at least moderate performance was for the Netherlands (R(2) = .31). Combined models for OP(AA) and OP(GSH) were largely explained by study area with weak local predictors of intra-area contrasts; we therefore do not endorse them for use in epidemiologic studies. Given the moderate correlation of OP(AA) with other pollutants, the three reasonably performing LUR models for OP(AA) could be used independently of other pollutant metrics in epidemiological studies.
Date Issued
2018
Date Acceptance
2017-10-03
Citation
2018, 160, pp.247-255
ISSN
1096-0953
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
247
End Page
255
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Research
Volume
160
Copyright Statement
© 2017, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29031214
Subjects
Environment *Environmental Monitoring Europe "*Models, Theoretical" Oxidation-Reduction Particulate Matter/*analysis Regression Analysis *Air pollution *Exposure assessment *lur *Land use regression *Oxidative potential *Spatial variability "N1 - Gulliver, John" "Morley, David" "Dunster, Chrissi" "McCrea, Adrienne" "van Nunen, Erik" "Tsai, Ming-Yi" "Probst-Hensch, Nicoltae" "Eeftens, Marloes" "Imboden, Medea" "Ducret-Stich, Regina" "Naccarati, Alessio" "Galassi, Claudia" "Ranzi, Andrea" "Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark" "Curto, Ariadna" "Donaire-Gonzalez, David" "Cirach, Marta" "Vermeulen, Roel" "Vineis, Paolo" "Hoek, Gerard" "Kelly, Frank J" eng G1000758/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom MR/L01341X/1/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom Validation Study Netherlands Environ Res. 2018 Jan;160:247-255. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.10.002. Epub 2017 Oct 12.
Publication Status
Published online