Using sparse Gaussian processes for predicting robust inertial confinement fusion implosion yields
File(s)GPz_ICF.pdf (1.41 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Here, we present the application of an advanced sparse Gaussian process-based machine learning algorithm to the challenge of predicting the yields of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. The algorithm is used to investigate the parameter space of an extremely robust ICF design for the National Ignition Facility, the ``Simplest Design''; deuterium-tritium gas in a plastic ablator with a Gaussian, Planckian drive. In particular, we show that: 1) GPz has the potential to decompose uncertainty on predictions into uncertainty from lack of data and shot-to-shot variation; 2) it permits the incorporation of science-goal-specific cost-sensitive learning (CSL), e.g., focusing on the high-yield parts of parameter space; and 3) it is very fast and effective in high dimensions.
Date Issued
2020-01
Date Acceptance
2019-09-19
Citation
IEEE Transactions on Plasma Science, 2020, 48 (1), pp.14-21
ISSN
0093-3813
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Start Page
14
End Page
21
Journal / Book Title
IEEE Transactions on Plasma Science
Volume
48
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2019 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Identifier
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8875001
Grant Number
EP/K028464/1
Subjects
0202 Atomic, Molecular, Nuclear, Particle and Plasma Physics
0906 Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Fluids & Plasmas
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-10-17