Identification of Gaussian process state space models
Author(s)
Eleftheriadis, S
Nicholson, TFW
Deisenroth, Marc
Hensman, J
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e., computing a posterior of the latent state given the model. However, the key challenge in GPSSMs has not been satisfactorily addressed yet: system identification, i.e., learning the model. To address this challenge, we impose a structured Gaussian variational posterior distribution over the latent states, which is parameterised by a recognition model in the form of a bi-directional recurrent neural network. Inference with this structure allows us to recover a posterior smoothed over sequences of data. We provide a practical algorithm for efficiently computing a lower bound on the marginal likelihood using the reparameterisation trick. This further allows for the use of arbitrary kernels within the GPSSM. We demonstrate that the learnt GPSSM can efficiently generate plausible future trajectories of the identified system after only observing a small number of episodes from the true system.
Date Issued
2017-12-04
Date Acceptance
2017-09-04
Citation
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2017, pp.5310-5320
ISSN
1049-5258
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press
Start Page
5310
End Page
5320
Journal / Book Title
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
Copyright Statement
© 2017 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved.
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/1705.10888v1
Source
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
Subjects
stat.ML
stat.ML
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2017-12-04
Finish Date
2017-12-09
Coverage Spatial
Long Beach, CA, USA
Date Publish Online
2017-12-04