Implicit probabilistic integrators for ODEs
File(s)Implicit Probabilistic Integrators for ODEs.pdf (3.32 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Teymur, Onur
Calderhead, Ben
Lie, Han Cheng
Sullivan, Tim
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
We introduce a family of implicit probabilistic integrators for initial value problems (IVPs), taking as a starting point the multistep Adams–Moulton method. The implicit construction allows for dynamic feedback from the forthcoming time-step, in contrast to previous probabilistic integrators, all of which are based on explicit methods. We begin with a concise survey of the rapidly-expanding field of probabilistic ODE solvers. We then introduce our method, which builds on and adapts the work of Conrad et al. (2016) and Teymur et al. (2016), and provide a rigorous proof of its well-definedness and convergence. We discuss the problem of the calibration of such integrators and suggest one approach. We give an illustrative example highlighting the effect of the use of probabilistic integrators—including our new method—in the setting of parameter inference within an inverse problem.
Date Issued
2018-12
Date Acceptance
2018-09-05
Citation
NIPS'18: Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 2018, pp.7255-7264
ISSN
1049-5258
Publisher
ACM
Start Page
7255
End Page
7264
Journal / Book Title
NIPS'18: Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
Copyright Statement
© 2018 ACM. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of ACM for your personal use. Not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in NIPS'18: Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, December 2018, Pages 7255–7264
Identifier
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3327757.3327827
Source
Neural Information Processing Systems
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence
Computer Science
1701 Psychology
1702 Cognitive Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2018-12-02
Finish Date
2018-12-08
Coverage Spatial
Montreal, Canada
Date Publish Online
2018-12