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  5. Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
 
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Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
File(s)
2012.09874v2.pdf (1.42 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
AbdusSalam, Shehu S
Agocs, Fruzsina J
Allanach, Benjamin C
Athron, Peter
Balazs, Csaba
more
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at Zenodo.
Date Issued
2022-05
Date Acceptance
2022-03-24
Citation
Reports on Progress in Physics, 2022, 85 (5)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/109400
URL
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
ISSN
0034-4885
Publisher
IOP Publishing
Journal / Book Title
Reports on Progress in Physics
Volume
85
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2022 IOP Publishing Ltd. This is an author-created, un-copyedited version of an article published in Reports on Progress in Physics. IOP Publishing Ltd is not responsible for any errors or omissions in this version of the manuscript or any version derived from it. The Version of Record is available online at 10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000791574900001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
Subjects
BAYESIAN-INFERENCE
CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS
EFFICIENT
ERRORS
GAMBIT
LIKELIHOOD RATIO
methodology
OPTIMIZATION
particle physics
Physical Sciences
Physics
Physics, Multidisciplinary
P-VALUES
Science & Technology
SEARCH
SELECTION
statistics
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
052201
Date Publish Online
2022-04-29
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