Potential for developing independent daytime/nighttime LUR models based on short-term mobile monitoring to improve model performance
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Land use regression model (LUR) is a widespread method for predicting air pollution exposure. Few studies have explored the performance of independently developed daytime/nighttime LUR models. In this study, fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations were measured by mobile monitoring during non-heating and heating seasons in Taiyuan. Pollutant concentrations were higher in the nighttime than the daytime, and higher in the heating season than the non-heating season. Daytime/nighttime and full-day LUR models were developed and validated for each pollutant to examine variations in model performance. Adjusted coefficients of determination (adjusted R2) for the LUR models ranged from 0.53-0.87 (PM2.5), 0.53-0.85 (PM10), and 0.33-0.67 (NO2). The performance of the daytime/nighttime LUR models for PM2.5 and PM10 was better than that of the full-day models according to the results of model adjusted R2 and validation R2. Consistent results were confirmed in the non-heating and heating seasons. Effectiveness of developing independent daytime/nighttime models for NO2 to improve performance was limited. Surfaces based on the daytime/nighttime models revealed variations in concentrations and spatial distribution. In conclusion, the independent development of daytime/nighttime LUR models for PM2.5/PM10 has the potential to replace full-day models for better model performance. The modeling strategy is consistent with the residential activity patterns and contributes to achieving reliable exposure predictions for PM2.5 and PM10. Nighttime could be a critical exposure period, due to high pollutant concentrations.
Date Issued
2021-01-01
Date Acceptance
2020-10-27
Citation
Environmental Pollution, 2021, 268 (Part B)
ISSN
0269-7491
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Pollution
Volume
268
Issue
Part B
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33162219
PII: S0269-7491(20)36640-9
Subjects
Diurnal model
Environmental modeling
Land use regression
NO(2)
Particulate matter
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
ARTN 115951
Date Publish Online
2020-10-29