Predicting vasovagal syncope from heart rate and blood pressure: A prospective study in 140 subjects
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We developed a vasovagal syncope (VVS) prediction algorithm for use during head-up tilt with simultaneous analysis of heart rate (HR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP). We previously tested this algorithm retrospectively in 1155 subjects, showing sensitivity 95%, specificity 93% and median prediction time of 59s. OBJECTIVE: This study was prospective, single center, on 140 subjects to evaluate this VVS prediction algorithm and assess if retrospective results were reproduced and clinically relevant. Primary endpoint was VVS prediction: sensitivity and specificity >80%. METHODS: In subjects, referred for 60° head-up tilt (Italian protocol), non-invasive HR and SBP were supplied to the VVS prediction algorithm: simultaneous analysis of RR intervals, SBP trends and their variability represented by low-frequency power generated cumulative risk which was compared with a predetermined VVS risk threshold. When cumulative risk exceeded threshold, an alert was generated. Prediction time was duration between first alert and syncope. RESULTS: Of 140 subjects enrolled, data was usable for 134. Of 83 tilt+ve (61.9%), 81 VVS events were correctly predicted and of 51 tilt-ve subjects (38.1%), 45 were correctly identified as negative by the algorithm. Resulting algorithm performance was sensitivity 97.6%, specificity 88.2%, meeting primary endpoint. Mean VVS prediction time was 2min 26s±3min16s with median 1min 25s. Using only HR and HR variability (without SBP) the mean prediction time reduced to 1min34s±1min45s with median 1min13s. CONCLUSION: The VVS prediction algorithm, is clinically-relevant tool and could offer applications including providing a patient alarm, shortening tilt-test time, or triggering pacing intervention in implantable devices.
Date Issued
2018-09-01
Date Acceptance
2018-04-01
Citation
Heart Rhythm, 2018, 15 (9), pp.1404-1410
ISSN
1547-5271
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
1404
End Page
1410
Journal / Book Title
Heart Rhythm
Volume
15
Issue
9
Copyright Statement
© 2018 Heart Rhythm Society. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29715516
PII: S1547-5271(18)30457-0
Subjects
autonomic nervous system
blood pressure
heart rate
syncope prediction study
tilt-test
vasovagal syncope
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Date Publish Online
2018-04-30