The debiased Whittle likelihood
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Published version
Author(s)
Sykulski, Adam M
Olhede, Sofia C
Guillaumin, Arthur P
Lilly, Jonathan M
Early, Jeffrey J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The Whittle likelihood is a widely used and computationally efficient pseudolikelihood. However, it is known to produce biased parameter estimates with finite sample sizes for large classes of models. We propose a method for debiasing Whittle estimates for second-order stationary stochastic processes. The debiased Whittle likelihood can be computed in the same O(nlogn) operations as the standard Whittle approach. We demonstrate the superior performance of our method in simulation studies and in application to a large-scale oceanographic dataset, where in both cases the debiased approach reduces bias by up to two orders of magnitude, achieving estimates that are close to those of the exact maximum likelihood, at a fraction of the computational cost. We prove that the method yields estimates that are consistent at an optimal convergence rate of n−1/2 for Gaussian processes and for certain classes of non-Gaussian or nonlinear processes. This is established under weaker assumptions than in the standard theory, and in particular the power spectral density is not required to be continuous in frequency. We describe how the method can be readily combined with standard methods of bias reduction, such as tapering and differencing, to further reduce bias in parameter estimates.
Date Issued
2019-06-01
Date Acceptance
2018-08-13
Citation
Biometrika, 2019, 106 (2), pp.251-266
ISSN
0006-3444
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Start Page
251
End Page
266
Journal / Book Title
Biometrika
Volume
106
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Biometrika Trust
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000493046200001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Physical Sciences
Biology
Mathematical & Computational Biology
Statistics & Probability
Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
Mathematics
Computational efficiency
Fast Fourier transform
Frequency domain
Parameter estimation
Pseudolikelihood
FOURIER-ANALYSIS
TIME
MODELS
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-02-13