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  5. Report 7: Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights
 
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Report 7: Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights
File(s)
2020-03-09-COVID19-Report-7.pdf (572.69 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Thompson, Haley
Imai, Natsuko
Dighe, Amy
Baguelin, Marc
Bhatia, Sangeeta
more
Type
Report
Abstract
Since the end of January 2020, in response to the growing COVID-19 epidemic, 55 countries have repatriated over 8000 citizens from Wuhan City, China. In addition to quarantine measures for returning citizens, many countries implemented PCR screening to test for infection regardless of symptoms. These flights therefore give estimates of infection prevalence in Wuhan over time. Between 30th January and 1st February (close to the peak of the epidemic in Wuhan), infection prevalence was 0.87% (95% CI: 0.32% - 1.89%). As countries now start to repatriate citizens from Iran and northern Italy, information from repatriated citizens could help inform the level of response necessary to help control the outbreaks unfolding in newly affected areas.
Date Issued
2020-03-09
Citation
2020, pp.1-9
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/77295
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.25561/77295
Start Page
1
End Page
9
Copyright Statement
© 2020. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives
4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Sponsor
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Identifier
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-09-COVID19-Report-7.pdf
Grant Number
MR/R015600/1
Subjects
COVID-19
Repatriation flights
Prevalence
Coronavirus
Publication Status
Published online
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