Global variations in mortality in adults after initiating antiretroviral treatment: an updated analysis of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS cohort collaboration.
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Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
BACKGROUND: UNAIDS models use data from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) collaboration in setting assumptions about mortality rates after antiretroviral treatment (ART) initiation. This study aims to update these assumptions with new data, to quantify the extent of regional variation in ART mortality and to assess trends in ART mortality. METHODS: Adult ART patients from Africa, Asia and the Americas were included if they had a known date of ART initiation during 2001-2017 and a baseline CD4 cell count. In cohorts that relied only on passive follow-up (no patient tracing or linkage to vital registration systems), mortality outcomes were imputed in patients lost to follow-up based on a meta-analysis of tracing study data. Poisson regression models were fitted to the mortality data. RESULTS: 464 048 ART patients were included. In multivariable analysis, mortality rates were lowest in Asia and highest in Africa, with no significant differences between African regions. Adjusted mortality rates varied significantly between programmes within regions. Mortality rates in the first 12 months after ART initiation were significantly higher during 2001-2006 than during 2010-2014, although the difference was more substantial in Asia and the Americas [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 1.43, 95% CI: 1.22-1.66] than in Africa (aIRR 1.07, 95% CI: 1.04-1.11). CONCLUSION: There is substantial variation in ART mortality between and within regions, even after controlling for differences in mortality by age, sex, baseline CD4 category and calendar period. ART mortality rates have declined substantially over time, although declines have been slower in Africa.
Date Issued
2019-12-15
Date Acceptance
2019-07-24
Citation
AIDS, 2019, 33, pp.S283-S294
ISSN
0269-9370
Publisher
Lippincott, Williams & Wilkins
Start Page
S283
End Page
S294
Journal / Book Title
AIDS
Volume
33
Copyright Statement
© 2019 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. This is an open access article distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and
share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and
share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.
Sponsor
National Institutes of Health
UNAIDS
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31800405
PII: 00002030-201912153-00009
Grant Number
5776-ICS-DHHS-6664
2017/778519
MR/R015600/1
Subjects
International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) Collaboration
Virology
06 Biological Sciences
11 Medical and Health Sciences
17 Psychology and Cognitive Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2019-12-15