A review of trends and drivers of greenhouse gas emissions by sector from 1990 to 2018
File(s)Lamb_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._16_073005.pdf (6.77 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions can be traced to five economic sectors: energy, industry, buildings, transport and AFOLU (agriculture, forestry and other land uses). In this topical review, we synthesise the literature to explain recent trends in global and regional emissions in each of these sectors. To contextualise our review, we present estimates of GHG emissions trends by sector from 1990 to 2018, describing the major sources of emissions growth, stability and decline across ten global regions. Overall, the literature and data emphasise that progress towards reducing GHG emissions has been limited. The prominent global pattern is a continuation of underlying drivers with few signs of emerging limits to demand, nor of a deep shift towards the delivery of low and zero carbon services across sectors. We observe a moderate decarbonisation of energy systems in Europe and North America, driven by fuel switching and the increasing penetration of renewables. By contrast, in rapidly industrialising regions, fossil-based energy systems have continuously expanded, only very recently slowing down in their growth. Strong demand for materials, floor area, energy services and travel have driven emissions growth in the industry, buildings and transport sectors, particularly in Eastern Asia, Southern Asia and South-East Asia. An expansion of agriculture into carbon-dense tropical forest areas has driven recent increases in AFOLU emissions in Latin America, South-East Asia and Africa. Identifying, understanding, and tackling the most persistent and climate-damaging trends across sectors is a fundamental concern for research and policy as humanity treads deeper into the Anthropocene.
Date Issued
2021-07-01
Date Acceptance
2021-03-12
Citation
Environmental Research Letters, 2021, 16 (7), pp.1-31
ISSN
1748-9326
Publisher
Institute of Physics (IoP)
Start Page
1
End Page
31
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Research Letters
Volume
16
Issue
7
Copyright Statement
© 2021 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. Original content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. Any further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the title of the work, journal citation and DOI.
License URL
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000667941000001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Physical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
greenhouse gas emissions
energy systems
industry
buildings
transport
AFOLU
trends and drivers
CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS
GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS
COOLING ENERGY TRENDS
DEMAND-SIDE SOLUTIONS
LAND-COVER CHANGE
ECONOMIC-GROWTH
CLIMATE-CHANGE
PEAK CAR
DRIVING FORCES
STOCK DYNAMICS
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 073005
Date Publish Online
2021-06-29